A tentative ceasefire agreement has emerged, but experts caution against premature optimism. Political scientist Jelena Juvan stated that any cessation of hostilities, including a halt to military action, represents a positive development. However, Juvan highlighted the historical context of previous ceasefires in conflicts like Ukraine and Gaza, noting a persistent pattern of their eventual breakdown.
“It’s a pause, a tactical pause,” she explained, “when all three sides should think about how to move forward and what the next goals are.”
The declaration of victory by the United States and Iran is particularly noteworthy. Juvan indicated that both nations are interpreting the ongoing situation through their own perspectives. Pakistan’s invitation for negotiations between the parties suggests a potential shift in momentum.
Juvan anticipates that the coming days will clarify the trajectory of the conflict, adding that a definitive direction is likely to become apparent soon.
